Friday, September 21, 2007

2010 Redistricting

I've been playing around with US population numbers to predict the changes in the number of congressional districts states will have after the 2010 Census. Here's what I predict:

Gain 4: Texas
Gain 2: Arizona
Gain 1: California, Florida, Georgia, Nevada, Utah
Lose 1: Illinois, Iowa, Louisiana, Massachusetts, Michigan, Minnesota, Missouri, New York, Pennsylvania
Lose 2: Ohio

This led to me wondering, what if every election year, they redistributed the Electoral College votes to better reflect each states population. During the 2000 election, the Electoral College votes were still based on the 1990 Census. If redistricting had taken place before the election, Bush would have received 7 more electoral votes. Based on 2004 population numbers, Bush would have gained 2.

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