Sunday, January 06, 2008

Perhaps I spoke too soon

During December, there seemed to be a "correction" on the currency market, wherein the US Dollar made a substantial one time rise against all major currencies, except the Chinese Yuan. This seems however only to be a delaying effort to keep prices from changing too quickly. In any case, it pushes the date back for many of my benchmarks.

Apr. 2008: 1 Euro > $1.50 US (no change, miscalculated last month)
Aug. 2008: 6 Swedish Kronor > $1 US (1 month later)
Nov. 2008: $1 Aussie > $1 US (2 months later)
Nov. 2008: 7 Chinese Yuan > $1 US (1 month sooner)
Mar. 2009: 900 Korean Won > $1 US (6 months later)
Jul. 2009: 30 Indian Rupees > $1 US (3 months later)
Jul. 2009: 100 Japanese Yen > $1 US (2 months sooner)
Aug. 2009: 1 Swiss Franc > $1 US (1 month sooner)
Jan. 2010: 5 Swedish Kronor > $1 US (1 month later)
Mar. 2010: $1 Canadian > $1.50 US (3 months later)

Where should you vote?

Playing with election numbers again, I decided to see how much each voters vote was worth in the US. There are 538 electoral college votes, which if they were distributed fairly, would be one vote for every 560,000 US citizens (with US population at nearly 302 million). However, they are not, leading to some votes being worth more or less than others. Below I have a list of states and how many "votes" a vote in each state is worth compared to the average.

Best states to vote in:
Wyoming - 3.2
DC - 2.9
Vermont - 2.7
North Dakota - 2.6
Alaska - 2.5

Worst states to vote in:
Texas - 0.80
Florida - 0.83
California - 0.84
Georgia - 0.88
Arizona -0.88

So if you want your vote to count more, get out of Texas and head to Wyoming. However, this inequality seems to have little influence on results, votes in all states that voted Republican in 2004 are worth 1.01 votes while those in Democratic states are worth 0.98. This equates to a difference of 4 electoral votes.