Top 20 Chase Contenders:
(red means they're down from last week, green means they're up)
Johnson 100%
Gordon 100%
Hamlin 100%
Stewart 100%
Kyle Busch 98%
Kurt Busch 93%
Harvick 84%
Kenseth 79%
Biffle 71%
Martin 63%
Edwards 59%
Newman 45%
Burton 41%
Kahne 35%
Bowyer 34%
Montoya 32%
Reutimann 22%
Earnhardt 18%
Logano 12%
McMurray 8%
Harvick only finished third at Sonoma, but he picked up a commanding points lead, leading to the largest gains I've seen so far. Harvick's chances of making the Chase jumped 15 percentage points, from 69% to 84%. Because of Harvick hogging most of the potential gains, few other drivers made gains this week. Four drivers dropped 5 percentage points, Edwards, Bowyer, Logano, and Truex. Now only 23 drivers have a chance of making the Chase. Ambrose managed to maintain a 0.4% chance, but he should have done match better if he hadn't made a stupid mistake right at the end of the race.
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