NASCAR week 20

Top 20 Chase Contenders:
(red means they're down from last week, green means they're up)
Gordon 100%
Harvick 100%
Johnson 100%
Hamlin 100%
Kurt Busch 100%
Stewart 100%
Kyle Busch 100%
Kenseth 93%
Edwards 79%
Burton 77%
Biffle 67%
Bowyer 51%
Martin 48%
Newman 28%
Kahne 26%
Reutimann 13%
Earnhardt 11%
McMurray 3%
Montoya 2%
Logano 2%

As we get down to the final few races, the divide between whose got a chance and who doesn't has really widen. Seven spots in the Chase look pretty well solidified, and another five appear very likely to make. It's really just down to who's getting the 12th spot, with Bowyer and Martin having an even chance. However, Newman and the rest of them aren't out of the game yet. Earnhardt is only a few points behind martin, he's chances are just low because of his record last year.

McMurray won, but as you can probably tell, it didn't help him a lot, it basically just kept him in the game. If he had finished 21st or worse, he would no longer have a chance. The biggest gainer was Burton (65% to 77%) although he only finished 6th. He actually has more points than Kenseth, he just has a poor record from last year keeping him down. The biggest loser was Reutimann (25% to 13%), erasing the gains he made when he won at Chicago.