It's been awhile since I've looked at figures for the majority-minority states. In my last post on the subject, new data from the 2010 census revealed that minority populations had been under counted, and that the estimated year for when most states would become majority-minority states moved forward considerably. Well, I finally got around to including 2011 in my estimates. Not much has changed from 2010, the next ten states likely to become majority-minority states, remain the same, although the years change a little.
Nevada - 2014
Maryland - 2017
Georgia - 2019
Florida - 2022
New Jersey - 2025
Arizona - 2025
New York - 2029
Louisiana - 2030 (est. excludes 2005)
Mississippi - 2030
Delaware - 2031
Only three states, Hawaii, Massachusetts, and Rhode Island, showed a proportional increase in the white population between 2010 and 2011, but in Massachusetts and Rhode Island, it wasn't large enough to reverse the trend, and in Hawaii, the white population is already so small, there is no significant trend. DC is the only region that clearly shows a reversal as the city becomes more gentrified. According to current trends, DC will be majority white by 2029. However, I'm skeptical this trend will continue as the pace of change decreased greatly between 2010 and 2011.
2 comments:
I find Maryland and Delaware the most surprising on your top 10 list. I never thought of them as particularly diverse states. Except now that I think of it I know two Indian immigrants from Delaware.
Both states have a large Black population. While other minority populations remain small, both states saw their Hispanic population increase by nearly double the national average between 2000 and 2010. Maryland is currently only 54% White.
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